GARP Risk podcast

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Biscuits & Jam

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Encore: Jessica B. Harris Believes in a Welcome Table 42:14

vor 12 Tagen42:14

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42:14

Episode Description: Jessica B. Harris may have been born and raised in New York City, but she has Tennessee roots through her father and has spent much of her life split between homes in the Northeast and the South – specifically New Orleans. For more than fifty years, she has been a college professor, a writer, and a lecturer, and her many books have earned her a reputation as an authority on food of the African Diaspora, as well as a lifetime achievement award from the James Beard Foundation. A few years back, Netflix adapted her book, High on the Hog: A Culinary Journey from Africa to America , into a 4 part docuseries. And I’m very proud to say that she’s a longtime contributor to Southern Living with a regular column called The Welcome Table. This episode was recorded in the Southern Living Birmingham studios, and Sid and Jessica talked about her mother’s signature mac and cheese, the cast-iron skillet she’d be sure to save if ever her house were on fire, and her dear friend, the late New Orleans chef Leah Chase. For more info visit: southernliving.com/biscuitsandjam Biscuits & Jam is produced by : Sid Evans - Editor-in-Chief, Southern Living Krissy Tiglias - GM, Southern Living Lottie Leymarie - Executive Producer Michael Onufrak - Audio Engineer/Producer Jeremiah McVay - Producer Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Welcome to the Risk Intelligence Podcast, where the Global Association of Risk Professionals, also known as GARP, brings together the world’s foremost Risk Practitioners, from around the globe, for in depth insights and discussions on today’s most important risk issues in finance and energy. Here is your chance to listen in.

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GARP Risk Podcast

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updated vor 27 Tagen

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83 Episoden

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GARP Risk Podcast

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Tariffs, Trade Wars, and the Credit Risk Reckoning 25:10

vor 27 Tagen25:10

25:10

Hear from Michael Crumpler, CEO, Credit Benchmark and Jon Hilsenrath, former Wall St. Journal senior writer and founder of Serpa Pinto Advisory, as we examine early warning signs, strategic responses, and innovative risk management approaches needed in today's volatile trade environment. This podcast explores the intersection of trade policy and credit risk, offering insights for senior risk managers navigating an increasingly complex global landscape: Rising Credit Risk: How tariffs are reshaping the credit risk landscape across key global sectors and what early warning signs risk officers should be tracking. Capital Allocation Strategies: How CROs and portfolio managers should reframe risk appetites given significant credit deterioration in vulnerable sectors. Data-Driven Decision Making: The role of alternative data and credit consensus insights in scenario planning and stress testing for portfolios exposed to supply chain shocks and regulatory retaliation. Central Bank Response: Potential actions the Fed and ECB may take given impacts of tariffs on inflation, Treasury yields, and economic uncertainty. Links from today’s discussion: Global Credit Risk Rising as Trade War Starts Speaker Bios Michael Crumpler, CEO, Credit Benchmark Michael was appointed CEO of Credit Benchmark in June 2023 after serving in several key executive roles including most recently as Chief Operating Officer and Head of Risk. He is also a member of the Executive Committee. Prior to joining Credit Benchmark in 2016, Michael worked at Goldman Sachs in the Credit Risk Management & Advisory group covering a diverse portfolio of entities across the natural resources and public finance sectors. Before Goldman, Michael spent over 10 years in other credit risk and banking roles at Barclays, Dexia and Moody’s Investors Service focused primarily on energy, infrastructure and U.S. public finance. Michael holds a Master of International Affairs from Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs and a Bachelor of English Literature from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Jon Hilsenrath, Former Wall St. Journal Senior Writer and Editor Author and 26-year veteran of The Wall Street Journal . Former chief economics correspondent, economics editor, markets editor and senior writer, based in New York, Hong Kong & Washington D.C. Pulitzer Prize finalist in 2014 for coverage of the Federal Reserve; part of WSJ team that was Pulitzer finalist in 2009 for coverage of financial crisis; contributed on-the-scene reporting to the WSJ’s Sept. 11 coverage which won 2002 Pulitzer. Author of “Yellen,” a biography of the Treasury Secretary and former Federal Reserve Chairwoman, book described by The Economist magazine as "elegant and erudite." Wilson Center Fellow, 2021. Cum laude graduate of Duke University, Knight-Bagehot Fellow at Columbia University with MBA and M.A. Hong Kong University of Science and Technology alum. Partner of Duke economics department as Visiting Fellow. Moderator Katherine Wolicki, Global Head of Engagement and Outreach, GARP Benchmarking Initiative (GBI) Katherine is the Global Head of Engagement and Outreach for GARP Benchmarking Initiative (GBI). GBI plays a key role in supporting evidence-based policymaking through the provision of industry benchmarking studies. Prior to this she was with HSBC for 12 years where she led the Global Financial and Model Risk Regulatory Policy and Engagement team for Risk. The team was responsible for the external regulatory interface for the Traded Risk, Treasury Risk Management and Global Risk Analytics function. This included the provision of guidance on regulatory risk matters, regulatory policy interpretation and industry engagement. Prior to this she was based in Brussels as a Public Affairs consultant specialising in financial services regulation. Katie has an MA in International Economic Relations from American University and a Maîtrise in European and International Law from the University of La Reunion. She is a fluent French speaker and an avid hiker and mountaineer. About Credit Benchmark Credit Benchmark is a leading provider of credit risk data and analytics. The company aggregates and anonymizes contributed risk data from over 40 global financial institutions, producing unique obligor-level Credit Consensus Ratings and other key credit metrics. Covering over 110,000 legal entities, 90% of which are not publicly rated—Credit Benchmark’s insights are trusted by major financial institutions worldwide to enhance their internal credit risk analysis and gain accurate risk perspectives.…

GARP Risk Podcast

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AgenticAI: The Next Frontier in Intelligent Decision-Making 25:49

vor 5 weeks25:49

25:49

Hear from Zeynep Tunc at SAS, who is leading risk management activities across Northern Europe, to learn about AgenticAI, a groundbreaking approach to decision making that interacts dynamically with its environment to achieve specific goals. Key topics: How AgenticAI differs from traditional AI through dynamic environmental interaction The technology behind the revolution: reinforcement learning, decision theory, and cognitive modeling Real-world applications in autonomous vehicles, loan approvals, portfolio management, and collections Critical ethical considerations including transparency, accountability, and bias mitigation Featuring insights from cutting edge research, including a Cambridge University project on self-driving cars, this episode maps the future landscape of AI-driven decision making. Relevant links: Rethinking risk: Smarter models, better decisions Discover your organisation’s Gen AI preparedness vs others - try the SAS GenAI benchmark tool Speaker’s Bio Zeynep Tunc is a credit risk professional with experience managing originations, customer management, and collections teams for consumer and small business portfolios. She joined SAS in 2022 and is currently leading risk management activities across Northern Europe. Zeynep is passionate about driving automation, seamless customer experiences, convergence of credit and fraud evaluations across customer lifecycle, AI-driven customer engagements, and working with clients to support near and long-term strategic roadmaps to drive value. Before joining SAS, Zeynep held key roles at financial institutions including Citibank, HSBC, Toyota Finance, and UniCredit, as well as software vendors such as FICO. Over the years, GARP and SAS have partnered to bring risk practitioners unique insights on a variety of topics related to risk management. Now we present a series of podcasts focused on making financial risk-based decisions in light of the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence and machine learning. About SAS SAS is a global leader in data and AI. We help organizations transform data into trusted decisions faster by providing knowledge in the moments that matter. No matter how you prioritize risk, SAS has proven solutions and best practices to help organizations establish a risk-aware culture, optimize capital and liquidity, and meet regulatory demands. SAS® provides on-demand, high-performance risk analytics to ensure greater efficiency and transparency. Strike the right balance between short- and long-term strategies. And confidently address changing regulations and manage compliance. Discover why 90% of the Fortune 100 use SAS. sas.com/riskmanagement .…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Inside the Mind of a Buy-Side CRO 35:55

vor 9 weeks35:55

35:55

Hear from Peter Mortensen, the chief risk officer of Russell Investments, about inflation volatility, tariffs, liquidity risk, AI threats and benefits, and ERM. Across the financial services spectrum, amid a global environment of uncertainty and political upheaval, risk management is as daunting as ever in 2025. Banks, for example, must contend with everything from cybersecurity hazards and the rise of AI to regulatory risk, global debt problems and increased supply-chain risk. Investment managers, meanwhile, face many of the same challenges but are also concerned with portfolio management, inflation volatility, the introduction of new tariffs, stress testing and liquidity risk obstacles. Peter Mortensen, CRO of Russell Investments, joins us today to share his insights on the risk trends, challenges and opportunities impacting the global investment management community. Relevant Links: GARP Benchmarking Initiative Speaker’s Bio Peter Mortensen is chief risk officer at Russell Investments, where he is responsible for measuring and monitoring market and liquidity risks for the firm's risk management program and regulatory reporting. He was promoted to CRO in June 2023, after serving a stint as the firm’s managing director of investment risk. In his current role, Peter also oversees the development, daily operation and support of Russell Investments’ proprietary multi-asset enterprise risk management system, which facilitates quantification of market, liquidity, credit and concentration risks. Since July 2015, he has assisted the CFA Institute with their curriculum development on risk management. Prior to joining Russell Investments in 2012, Peter worked as a senior risk analyst in the product solution group at Nykredit Bank. In that role, he was responsible for the development and implementation of OTC pricing models, in addition to models for pricing expected liquidity and capital costs arising from OTC trades.…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Forecasting 2025: Risk Trends and Predictions 33:25

vor 17 weeks33:25

33:25

Hear from Moody’s Analytics’ Cris deRitis about cybersecurity, AI, deglobalization, regulatory risk, global debt problems, geopolitical volatility, supply-chain risk, and other key issues that will impact risk managers this year. In 2024, the complex obstacles facing financial institutions and their risk managers were illuminated by headline-grabbing risk events – including the CrowdStrike IT outage, the fall of Republic First Bank, terrorist attacks on commercial shipping vessels in the Red Sea, and a plethora of climate-change-abetted natural disasters. Indeed, multi-faceted risks - ranging from rising cyber threats, third-party risks and AI encroachment to evolving regulatory and climate risks to geopolitical volatility and supply-chain uncertainty – created a very challenging environment. Part of the problem is that many of the major risk types are interconnected and distributed across multiple transmission channels. For example, cybersecurity not only covers ransomware attacks and internal breaches but also requires monitoring of threats from both third-party vendors (like CrowdStrike) and from AI tools, like deepfake technology, used by cyber criminals. Likewise, geopolitical risks, such as the Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Hamas wars, have a major impact on the supply chain. This year, risk managers can expect to face many of the same issues, while also tackling global debt problems, deglobalization, political upheaval, and even greater AI, cyber and third-party hazards. Relevant Links: Modeling Risk (GARP column by Cris deRitis) GARP Benchmarking Initiative GBI Study on Operational Resilience: Key Findings Speaker’s Bio Cristian deRitis is Managing Director and Deputy Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics. As the head of econometric model research and development, he specializes in the analysis of current and future economic conditions, scenario design, consumer credit markets and housing. In addition to his published research, Cristian is a co-host on the popular Inside Economics Podcast . He can be reached at cristian.deritis@moodys.com .…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Modernizing Risk Management in Today’s Competitive Landscape 28:12

vor 25 weeks28:12

28:12

Join Martim Rocha, Global Head of Risk Banking Solutions at SAS, and Luis Jesus, Senior Manager at SAS, as they discuss how financial institutions can transform their risk management to thrive in today's volatile market. Financial organizations today face heightened regulatory scrutiny while contending with siloed, legacy risk systems. But those that embrace AI, cloud, and integration can unlock new levels of efficiency, scalability, and proactive insights. Hear expert strategies for building a future-ready risk ecosystem - one that delivers governance, control, and competitive advantage. Key topics: - Top challenges risk teams face in cost rationalization and automation - How modernizing risk technology impacts business processes and decision-making. - Balancing business continuity, modernization, and regulatory demands - Addressing banking industry challenges and trends related to risk modernization over the next 5 years Speakers’ Bios Martim Rocha, Global Head of Risk Banking Solutions at SAS Martim manages a team of global experts on banking risk management, defining roadmaps and priorities for SAS solutions and supporting customers all over the world on their journey to take the best of the SAS solutions, from scoping and defining the best approach for each business case to helping customers taking the SAS solutions through implementation to be live as a production system. Martim has published several papers and has spoken at several conferences around the world on the topics of Risk Management in Banking, Risk and Finance Integration, IFRS9/CECL, Regulatory Risk Management, ALM, Capital Planning , Scenario Based Analysis and Stress-testing. With SAS for more then 17 years, he played the role of Strategic Advisor and Solution Designer on projects such as Stress-testing on a G-Sib based in London; IFRS9 and Stress-testing at G-SIB bank covering more than 60 locations worldwide; IFRS9 impairment at a couple of Top 5 Nordic Bank covering 5 countries; IFRS9 full-scope at Top banks in UAE; and IFRS9 impairment at more than a Top 5 South African Bank. Martim has more than 25 years of experience in the financial services industry on the topics of risk management, business analytics and data management. He has designed and managed projects for banks, insurance firms and other financial services companies in areas such as financial management, risk management, predictive analytics, financial and sales performance, strategy management, and customer analysis and segmentation. In addition, he was a lecturer for courses on advanced decision support systems, data warehousing and data mining at the Autonomous University of Lisbon and at the ISCTE Business School. Before joining SAS, Martim was a partner on the Business Analytics focused consulting firm, Noscitare where he led the delivery of many IT projects in financial services companies. Martim has a post-graduate degree in Business Administration from Nova SBE and has an undergraduate degree in Computer Science from ISIG. Luis Jesus, Senior Manager at Risk, Fraud and Compliance Solutions , SAS Luis Jesus is a risk management professional with 20+ years of experience in the financial services sector. He is currently a Senior Manager in the Integrated Balance-sheet Management solutions. Luís has a professional experience of more than 20 years in the financial sector being involved in different risk management projects namely on the implementation of the Basel Accord requirements, development of PD, LGD and CCF models, operational risk frameworks, recovery and resolution plans, ICAAP and ILAAP frameworks, development of IFRS9 compliant impairment calculation information systems and risk governance. Before joining SAS he was the Chief Risk Officer in a Portuguese bank and before that he was an Associated Partner in KPMG. Links from today’s discussion: https://www.sas.com/en/whitepapers/how-to-win-by-liberating-alm-113740.html Over the years, GARP and SAS have partnered to bring risk practitioners unique insights on a variety of topics related to risk management. Now we present a series of podcasts focused on making financial risk-based decisions in light of the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence and machine learning. About SAS SAS is a global leader in data and AI. We help organizations transform data into trusted decisions faster by providing knowledge in the moments that matter. No matter how you prioritize risk, SAS has proven solutions and best practices to help organizations establish a risk-aware culture, optimize capital and liquidity, and meet regulatory demands. SAS® provides on-demand, high-performance risk analytics to ensure greater efficiency and transparency. Strike the right balance between short- and long-term strategies. And confidently address changing regulations and manage compliance. Discover why 90% of the Fortune 100 use SAS. sas.com/riskmanagement.…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Operational Resilience: Current Challenges and the Road Ahead 26:50

vor 25 weeks26:50

26:50

Hear from Pedro Morales, the Director and Global Head of AML/Sanctions Compliance at Google, about AI, cyber threats, fraud, third-party risk, regulation and other complex operational resilience obstacles, trends and risks. The Federal Reserve defines operational resilience as the ability to deliver operations, including critical operations and core business lines, through a disruption from any hazard. In an interconnected world rife with volatility and uncertainty, there are certainly a plethora of hazards that can disrupt a business, and managing operational resilience is therefore a daunting task. At financial institutions, the operational resilience umbrella covers everything from AI, geopolitical threats and cyber risk to fraud, money laundering, IT outrages, third-party risk and disaster recovery. Indeed, on any given day, an operational resilience leader could have to contend with, for example, a cyberattack, an AI threat, a money-laundering scheme, or the fallout from a natural disaster or from wars in Eastern Europe and the Middle East. Governance and regulatory obstacles, moreover, also come with the job. With so many different problems to contend with, there’s not necessarily a one-size-fits-all approach for operational resilience. But a manager must stay on top of trends and be aware of all potential risks, while also following best practices – all as part of an effort to withstand, adapt and recover from disruptive events. *The views expressed by our guest speaker, Pedro Morales, are his alone and do not necessarily reflect those of his employer. Relevant Links: GARP Benchmarking Initiative Risk Intelligence: Operational Risk Speaker’s Bio Pedro Morales is the Director and Global Head of AML/Sanctions Compliance for Google. He previously served as Google’s Global Head of Enterprise Risk Management for Payments, and has also worked in various leadership roles at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, where he supervised large banks.…

GARP Risk Podcast

1
2025 Trends in Banking: The AI Maturity Pivot 28:03

vor 28 weeks28:03

28:03

Join industry experts Theodora Lau, founder of Unconventional Ventures and co-author of The Metaverse Economy and Beyond Good, and Julie Muckleroy, Global Banking Strategist at SAS as they explore the critical crossroads of AI in banking for 2025. This podcast delves into how banks are shifting from AI hype to strategic implementation, focusing on building foundational elements like data governance and trust. The conversation examines how mature approaches to AI can align investment with board priorities, select strategic use cases, and ultimately deliver meaningful return on investment while navigating complex regulatory landscapes. Key Insights: - How banks can align AI strategies with business priorities - Potential benefits and risks of AI technology - Innovative applications supporting small businesses, fraud prevention, and customer experience - Social good opportunities in AI development Dive into the future of banking technology with this must-listen podcast episode. Relevant Links: 2025 Trends in Global Banking | SAS Speakers’ Bio Theodora Lau, Founder, Unconventional Ventures Theodora Lau is the founder of Unconventional Ventures, a public speaker, and an advisor. She is the co-author of The Metaverse Economy (2023) and Beyond Good (2021), and host of One Vision, a podcast on fintech and innovation. Her monthly column on FinTech Futures explores the intersection of financial services, tech, and humanity. She is named one of American Banker’s Most Influential Women in FinTech in 2023. She is also a regular contributor and commentator for top industry events and publications, including BBC News, Finovate, American Banker, and Journal of Digital Banking. Julie Muckleroy, Global Banking Strategist, SAS With a background in marketing leadership roles at SaaS organizations and large US banks like Bank of America and Wells Fargo, Julie brings extensive knowledge and expertise in global banking trends and marketing strategies. She evaluates the future state of banking as a strategist at SAS. Over the years, GARP and SAS have partnered to bring risk practitioners unique insights on a variety of topics related to risk management. Now we present a series of podcasts focused on making financial risk-based decisions in light of the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence and machine learning. About SAS SAS is a global leader in data and AI. We help organizations transform data into trusted decisions faster by providing knowledge in the moments that matter. No matter how you prioritize risk, SAS has proven solutions and best practices to help organizations establish a risk-aware culture, optimize capital and liquidity, and meet regulatory demands. SAS® provides on-demand, high-performance risk analytics to ensure greater efficiency and transparency. Strike the right balance between short- and long-term strategies.…

GARP Risk Podcast

1
Generative AI: Trends, Benefits and Risks 27:07

vor 33 weeks27:07

27:07

Hear from Bo Xu, a Principal at Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and a member of GARP’s Risk and AI Advisory Committee, about GenAI use cases and challenges, as well as its impact on modeling, governance, regulation and risk careers. Even though generative AI is in its early days, its already having a big effect in financial risk management. As a powerful, interactive technology that can understand natural language, quickly search through reams of data and provide human-style answer to questions, GenAI is being used today for everything from data processing to risk monitoring and measurement to quantitative risk modeling. At the same time, financial institutions must decide how to properly govern GenAI, particularly as critics have expressed concerns about data leakage, intellectual property protection and third-party risk. What’s more, there are questions about the impact GenAI could have on risk jobs and about how regulators are going to respond to this innovative technology. Relevant Links: GARP Benchmarking Initiative Risk Intelligence: Technology Section Speaker’s Bio Bo Xu serves as a Principal at Boston Consulting Group (BCG), where he is a core member of the global GenAI expert team. His professional journey at BCG began in 2019, following a four-year tenure at KPMG in the risk consulting practice, concentrating on CCAR/DFAST model development and validation work. In his role at BCG, Xu leads a multi-disciplinary team focused on AI and GenAI programs. His responsibilities encompass strategy development, AI/GenAI implementation, and change management. He also has expertise in credit risk analysis, model risk management, and data governance from his earlier career.…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Real-time Customer Decisions in the Age of AI 22:32

vor 40 weeks22:32

22:32

Hear from Terisa Roberts, Global Head of Risk Modeling and Decisioning at SAS and Sarah Murphy, Principal Director of Accenture Data and AI, as we explore real-time customer decision making and what it means for portfolio monitoring. Thanks to the internet and artificial intelligence, consumers today can make financial decisions through multiple channels, resulting in a new level of competitive pressure for the sector. Financial services firms must make decisions that are not only fast and reliable, but also automated. Real-time customer decisioning plays a pivotal role in achieving these goals throughout the credit value chain, from the point of onboarding (including KYC, credit risk and fraud assessments and marketing) and beyond. Today’s episode will focus on: What are the global trends driving change in customer decisioning in financial services? What problems/challenges are there with conventional approaches? What are the benefits of modernizing your credit decisioning infrastructure? How are forward-thinking organizations deriving concrete business value from their decisioning modernization projects? Links from today’s discussion: SAS and Accenture Risk Model Decisioning Risk-Based Decisioning in an Age of Uncertainty Part 1 Risk-Based Decisioning in an Age of Uncertainty Part 2 Speakers Bios: Terisa Roberts Global Head of Risk Modeling and Decisioning, SAS Terisa Roberts is a risk management professional with 20 years of experience primarily in the financial services sector. She is currently a Director and Global Lead for Risk Modeling and Decisioning at SAS. Terisa has an extensive background in risk modeling for retail and commercial portfolios including regulatory capital stress testing and IFRS9/CECL. She advises banks, other financial services providers and regulators concerning innovations in Risk Modeling and Decisioning including artificial intelligence and machine learning. Teresa holds a Ph.D. in Operations Research and Informatics and lives in Sydney Australia Sarah Murphy, Principal Director, Accenture Data and AI As a Principal Director at Accenture, Sarah leads the growth of Intelligent Decisioning within the Applied Intelligence practice, leveraging 25+ years of risk management and operational experience in financial services and global consulting. Sarah has a proven track record of solving complex risk issues across the credit customer lifecycle, applying predictive analytics and decision management to transform business culture, minimize exposure, increase profitability, and create risk management centers of excellence. She also has a strong executive presence and excellent communication skills, enabling her to partner with clients and stakeholders at all levels and deliver value-added solutions. Passionate about staying at the forefront of the latest trends and technologies in intelligent decisioning, her mission is to help organizations harness the power of data and analytics to optimize their decision making, enhance their customer experience, and achieve their strategic goals. Over the years, GARP and SAS have partnered to bring risk practitioners unique insights on a variety of topics related to risk management. Now we present a series of podcasts focused on making financial risk-based decisions in light of the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence and machine learning. About SAS SAS is a global leader in data and AI. We help organizations transform data into trusted decisions faster by providing knowledge in the moments that matter. No matter how you prioritize risk, SAS has proven solutions and best practices to help organizations establish a risk-aware culture, optimize capital and liquidity, and meet regulatory demands. SAS® provides on-demand, high-performance risk analytics to ensure greater efficiency and transparency. Strike the right balance between short- and long-term strategies. And confidently address changing regulations and manage compliance. Discover why 90% of Fortune 100 companies choose SAS to solve their toughest challenges at sas.com/riskmanagement .…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Stress Testing: Past, Present and Future 32:25

vor 42 weeks32:25

32:25

Hear from Cristian deRitis, deputy chief economist at Moody’s analytics, about the evolution of stress testing, current trends, and the biggest challenges facing banks and regulators. Regulatory stress tests play a vital role in ensuring that large banks hold enough capital to withstand extreme recessions, while internal stress tests at banks are used for everything from capital and liquidity planning to risk monitoring, risk identification and operational resilience. The 2023 failures of a group of mid-sized U.S. banks, however, have led some critics to question whether the Federal Reserve’s annual stress test is broad enough, comprehensive enough and sufficiently proactive – particularly with respect to emerging threats and rare tail risks. Globally, meanwhile, we’ve seen stress testing expand beyond capital and liquidity and into areas like climate risk, which has created a whole new set of hurdles for regulators and banks. In the future, to address perceived flaws, it’s feasible that we could see a broadening of regulatory stress tests and changes to central banks’ approaches to scenarios. Banks, meanwhile, may consider increasing the frequency of their internal tests and expanding their use of AI models to rapidly factor in a wider array of scenarios. Relevant Links: GARP Benchmarking Initiative Modeling Risk (Risk Intelligence column by Cristian deRitis) Speaker’s Bio Cristian deRitis is Managing Director and Deputy Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics. As the head of econometric model research and development, he specializes in the analysis of current and future economic conditions, scenario design, consumer credit markets and housing. In addition to his published research, Cristian is a co-host on the popular Inside Economics Podcast . He can be reached at cristian.deritis@moodys.com .…

GARP Risk Podcast

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AI on the Buy Side: Risks, Challenges and Opportunities 27:46

vor 45 weeks27:46

27:46

Nirav Shah, a founding partner at Versor Investments, speaks with GARP editorial director Robert Sales about the pros and cons of artificial intelligence and machine learning for buy-side institutions. Though significant concerns remain about the bias, fairness an explainability of AI and ML, these innovative technologies have made great inroads in financial services. Banks, for example, now use AI and ML for everything from anti-money laundering to fraud detection to risk modeling and analysis, while asset management firms employ these tools for portfolio optimization and risk mitigation. Nirav Shah discusses the role ML plays in risk reduction and alpha generation at buy-side institutions, and offers his thoughts on, among other topics, data governance and data management challenges, the growth of generative AI, the importance of regulation, and potential future applications of this technology. Speaker’s Bio Nirav Shah is a founding partner at Versor Investments, where he has built innovative, scalable systems for using alternative data and AI/ML techniques. These tools are used in the firm's investment strategies, particularly within the futures and equities markets. He has also worked on various parts of the investment process at Versor, ranging from research to portfolio construction and trading. He has nearly two decades of experience in quantitative and systematic investment management. Prior to Versor Investments, he founded a consulting firm focused on quantitative research. Earlier, he served as Vice President at Investcorp in New York, where he focused on asset allocation and quantitative research. His career also includes a role as a Quantitative Researcher at Phoenix Global Capital Management, a CTA based in Chicago.…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Geopolitical Risk: Trends, Challenges and Prognostications 22:49

vor 1 year22:49

22:49

Hear from Daniel Wagner, CEO of Country Risk Solutions, about the complexities of the global geopolitical risk landscape. In these volatile and uncertain times, identifying, measuring and managing geopolitical risk is a daunting task. Everywhere we turn, geopolitical struggles are grabbing headlines, whether we’re talking about, for example, the Israel-Hamas and Russia-Ukraine wars, U.S.-China strategic relations, or Red Sea hostilities. These multi-layered events are having a huge impact across the risk management spectrum, affecting everything from market risk to supply-chain risk to credit risk, cyber risk and liquidity risk. Complicating matters further, they are idiosyncratic and very difficult to predict. Keeping all this in mind, there are certainly still steps that financial risk managers can take to better measure and mitigate geopolitical threats. Our guest speaker, Daniel Wagner, is the perfect person to shed light on today’s complex geopolitical environment and to peer into the future. Links From Today’s Discussion: GARP Risk Snapshot April 2024: Geopolitical Risk GARP Benchmarking Initiative (GBI)® Speaker’s Bio Daniel Wagner, founder and CEO, Country Risk Solutions Daniel has more than three decades of experience assessing cross-border risk. He is an authority on political risk insurance and analysis and has worked for some of the world’s most respected and best-known companies, including AIG, GE, the African Development Bank, the Asian Development Bank, and the World Bank Group. Until the end of 2023, he was Adaptation Finance Lead and Technical Advisor on Private Capital Mobilization for COP28 in Abu Dhabi. Prior to that, he was Senior Investment Officer for Guarantees and Syndications at the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank in Beijing and Abu Dhabi. Daniel has published 10 books – Decision-Making in the Polycrisis Era, The Chinese Epiphany, The Chinese Vortex, The America-China Divide, China Vision, AI Supremacy, Virtual Terror, Global Risk Agility and Decision-Making, Managing Country Risk, and Political Risk Insurance Guide – as well as more than 700 articles on current affairs and risk management. He is a regular contributor to such publications as the South China Morning Post , Sunday Guardian , Diplomatic Courier and Fair Observer , among many others. Please see www.countryrisksolutions.com for a full listing of his publications and media interviews.…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Risk Resilience: 2024 Trends and Perspectives 30:06

vor 1 year30:06

30:06

In this podcast, Julie Muckleroy, Global Banking Strategist from SAS, and Abraham Izquierdo, Managing Director of Trading and Treasury Risks at Grupo Financiero Banorte, explore the top risk management trends for 2024. With the start of 2024, persistent high interest rates and inflation remain key concerns. Adding to these challenges are potential conflict escalation in the Middle East, threats to global shipping lanes, and historically low water levels in Panama, among others. The fallout from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and the rapid growth of Generative AI are also being analyzed, impacting both smaller financial institutions' balance sheets in the U.S. and the wider financial landscape. Speakers’ Bios: Abraham M Izquierdo, FRM: Managing Director of Trading & Treasury Risks at Grupo Financiero Banorte, overseeing balance sheet oversight, policy compliance, hedging strategies, and interest rate risk management. He also manages liquidity risk framework and the Basel III directive, as well as capital management and surveillance for Grupo Financiero Banorte. Julie Muckleroy: Global Banking Strategist in SAS’ Global Industry Marketing organization. With a background in marketing leadership roles at SaaS organizations and large US banks like Bank of America and Wells Fargo, Julie brings extensive knowledge and expertise in global banking trends and marketing strategies. She evaluates the future state of banking as a strategist at SAS. Over the years, GARP and SAS have partnered to bring risk practitioners unique insights on a variety of topics related to risk management. Now we present a series of podcasts focused on making financial risk-based decisions in light of the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence and machine learning. Learn more of the trends shaping the banking sector in 2024: The Year Ahead: Bank Trends for 2024 About SAS As a leader in analytics, SAS’ award-winning capabilities in analytics, risk management, and other technology areas have helped customers across the globe solve their toughest and ever-evolving business problems. Its unrelenting commitment to innovation enables organizations across financial services to modernize and sustain a competitive edge. Through the latest developments in machine learning, natural language processing, forecasting, and optimization, SAS supports diverse environments and scales to meet changing needs. Learn more about how SAS is driving innovation and business value for risk and finance professionals at www.sas.com/risk…

GARP Risk Podcast

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Forecasting 2024: Risk Trends and Predictions 24:50

vor 1 year24:50

24:50

Hear from Moody’s Analytics’ Cris deRitis about geopolitical risk, cybersecurity, political unease, supply-chain threats, and other key issues that will impact risk managers this year. 2023 was a hectic and extremely challenging year for risk managers. The U.S. regional banking crisis grabbed headlines, with failures being blamed on everything from poor risk culture and ineffective risk modeling to interest-rate volatility – and even to the speed at which news travels in the social media era. Geopolitical risk and supply-chain risk also contributed to an environment of volatility and uncertainty, fueled by the start of a violent conflict between Israel and Hamas, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, and attacks on commercial shipping vessels in the Red Sea. Technology, moreover, has evolved, with cyberattacks becoming more sophisticated and more prevalent, and with new innovations – like generative AI – bringing both risks and opportunities. That leads us to today’s topic: namely, how will the remainder of 2024 shake out? What changes may be on the horizon, and which trends will have the greatest impact on the financial risk management landscape? Cris deRitis, the deputy chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, sheds some light on what lies ahead for risk managers. Links From Today’s Discussion: GBI® survey on energy security risk | Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) posted on the topic | LinkedIn https://www.garp.org/garp-benchmarking-initiative https://www.garp.org/risk-intelligence/modeling-risk/all SPEAKER BIO: Cristian deRitis is the Deputy Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics. As the head of model research and development, he specializes in the analysis of current and future economic conditions, consumer credit markets and housing. Before joining Moody's Analytics, he worked for Fannie Mae. In addition to his published research, Cristian is named on two U.S. patents for credit modeling techniques. Cristian is also a co-host on the popular Inside Economics Podcast . He can be reached at cristian.deritis@moodys.com .…

GARP Risk Podcast

1
Real Estate Risk in Volatile Times 23:31

vor 2 years23:31

23:31

Hear veteran risk manager, advisor and professor Clifford Rossi’s viewpoints on trends, threats and opportunities in the commercial and residential real estate markets. The past couple of years have been an extremely challenging time for risk practitioners charged with measuring and managing real estate risk. In both commercial real estate and residential real estate, concerns have been raised globally about interest rates, inflation and economic uncertainty. Indeed, in a recent Federal Reserve survey on salient risks – part of the Fed’s October Financial Stability Report – roughly 75 percent of respondents cited the potential for “large losses on CRE and residential real estate.” CRE, more specifically, has been plagued by escalating vacancy rates for office buildings, thanks in part to the remote work trend that started during the pandemic and has since taken off. Residential real estate, meanwhile, has dealt with worries about housing affordability. As a former CRO at multiple banks and as an ex-senior risk manager at Fannie Mae and Freddi Mac, Cliff Rossi, our honored guest today, knows all about the CRE and residential real estate risks facing financial institutions today. Cliff, the current Director of the Smith Enterprise Risk Consortium at the University of Maryland (UMD), speaks with GARP editorial director Robert Sales about global real estate concerns and challenges, and offers advice on how firms can more effectively manage their exposures. SPEAKER’S BIO: Clifford Rossi (PhD) is the Director of the Smith Enterprise Risk Consortium at the University of Maryland (UMD) and a Professor-of-the-Practice and Executive-in-Residence at UMD’s Robert H. Smith School of Business. He is also the author of GARP’s monthly “ CRO Outlook ” column. Prior to entering academia, Rossi had nearly 25 years of experience in banking and government, having held senior executive roles in risk management at several of the largest financial services companies. His most recent position was Managing Director and Chief Risk Officer for Citigroup’s Consumer Lending Group, where he was responsible for overseeing the risk of a $300+B global portfolio of mortgage, home equity, student loans and auto loans with 700 employees under his direction. While there he was intimately involved in Citi’s TARP and stress test activities. He also served as Chief Credit Officer at Washington Mutual (WaMu) and as Managing Director and Chief Risk Officer at Countrywide Bank. Previous to these assignments, Rossi held senior risk management positions at Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. He started his career during the thrift crisis at the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Domestic Finance and later at the Office of Thrift Supervision working on key policy issues affecting depositories. Rossi was also an adjunct professor in the Finance Department at the Robert H. Smith School of Business for eight years and has numerous academic and nonacademic articles on banking industry topics. Rossi is frequently quoted on financial policy issues in major newspapers and has appeared on such programs as C-SPAN’s Washington Journal and CNN’s Situation Room. His book for risk practitioners and graduate students, A Risk Professional's Survival Guide , was published in 2014 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. His research interests are in financial and nonfinancial risk management, risk governance and analytics and climate risk.…

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