“What do RP’s tools tell us about giving $100m to AW or GHD?” by Hayley Clatterbuck, arvomm, Bob Fischer, Derek Shiller, David_Moss

EA Forum Podcast (Curated & popular)

Intro

Suppose you have $100M to give away. You are drawn to the many important opportunities to reduce animal suffering or address pressing issues in global health and development. Your choice about how to allocate the funds could depend on considerations like these:

• Moral values: How much moral weight do you assign to various non-human species? Are you focused exclusively on hedonic considerations, like reducing suffering? Or do you have other relevant values, such as autonomy?
• Cost-effectiveness estimates: Species-discounting aside, how many DALYs/$ do the best projects in the area achieve? How fast do returns diminish in these areas?
• Decision-theoretic values: How do you feel about risk-taking? Are you willing to tolerate a substantial probability that projects will fail? What about non-trivial chances of projects backfiring?
• Second-order effects: Will giving to one cause set benefit any of your other values? Are there speculative benefits that might flow from [...]

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Outline:

(00:09) Intro

(02:47) Cross-Cause Cost-Effectiveness Model

(02:51) How it works

(04:25) What it says

(06:53) Portfolio Builder Tool

(06:57) How it works

(08:12) What it says

(10:32) Moral Parliament Tool

(10:36) How it works

(11:48) What it says

(12:02) Parliament composition matters

(14:10) Allocation strategy matters

(17:27) Conclusions

The original text contained 5 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.

The original text contained 11 images which were described by AI.

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First published:
October 7th, 2024

Source:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/vEwGx9RXnHaMyKhZM/what-do-rp-s-tools-tell-us-about-giving-usd100m-to-aw-or-ghd

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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