1179 - Panini 2023 Football Box Battle: Absolute vs. Phoenix

Dr. James Beckett: Sports Card Insights

A review of two different Panini football card boxes: 2023 Phoenix and 2023 Absolute. I share my experience opening and examining these boxes, offering insights into their contents, prices, and overall value. As a statistician, Dr. Beckett addresses the misconception of loaded or conspiratorial boxes, emphasizing that while the probability of getting a great card is unlikely, someone will eventually get it due to chance, rather than any special advantages. He also mentions the allure and fun of box breaks and acknowledges that his own preference lies somewhere between low-end and high-end boxes.

We discusses various aspects related to the pricing of boxes and the factors that contribute to their costs and sale prices. He explains that the price of a box is determined based on the costs associated with its production, the history and brand value of the product, and the assets included within the box, such as autographs, game-used material, and special treatments on inserts. Dr. Beckett also argues against the notion that the price is determined solely by the cost of cardboard and ink, clarifying that serial numbers and rarity themselves do not significantly impact the price.

Throughout Dr. Beckett delves into the card collecting experience, sharing his thoughts on brand continuity, package design, player images, and the importance of dual licensing from the Players Association and the leagues. He reflects on the challenges faced by companies in titling and categorizing their products, especially in relation to the years indicated on the cards. He mentions the trend of increasing the number of cards, creating a wide range of parallels, and explains that market research supports demand for more variations of player cards.

Dr. Beckett also touches on the difficulty of tracking and valuing numerous card variations, particularly those associated with less popular or obscure players. He expresses gratitude to Panini for their contribution to the growth of the basketball hobby and acknowledges the need for responsible growth in the sports card industry.

The script concludes with Dr. Beckett revealing that his personal preference leaned towards the Phoenix football box due to its larger number of cards, appealing design, and potential inclusion of a player that he may consider displaying on his wall. However, he acknowledges the subjective nature of individual preferences in card collecting and emphasizes the importance of enjoying the hobby, opening boxes, and finding joy in the process.