112: Real Estate Mastery: Jason Hartman on Single Family Strategies and Future Predictions

Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat

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4M ago 19:45

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Jason Hartman discusses the current state of the single family housing market with Ken McElroy. He explains there are three types of markets - linear, cyclical, and hybrid. Linear markets like Memphis and Indianapolis see slow, steady growth. Cyclical markets like LA and Miami experience volatile booms and busts. Hybrid fall in between. Despite rising rates, most of the country has seen modest home price declines, except some western markets. This is due to low inventory; there are only 500,000 homes listed compared to a normal 1.2 million. Demand has fallen 20% but supply remains very tight. Millennials are finally entering their prime home-buying years, further straining supply. Existing homeowners with sub-4% mortgages are unlikely to sell (the “lock-in effect”). Unemployment insurance can cover most mortgage payments, preventing distress. The ingredients for a housing crash are not present. Rents will likely rise as home prices soften.

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Key Takeaways:

0:49 All real estate is local

2:55 3 Types of Markets

6:46 Interest rate hikes and appreciation values

8:35 Rents: where it is all headed

11:13 The Lock-in effect

12:33 2023 Housing inventory

15:39 Median mortgage payments

16:45 Unemployment insurance

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