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Smart Investing with Brent & Chase Wilsey
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Manage series 2879359
Inhalt bereitgestellt von Brent & Chase Wilsey and Amp; Chase Wilsey. Alle Podcast-Inhalte, einschließlich Episoden, Grafiken und Podcast-Beschreibungen, werden direkt von Brent & Chase Wilsey and Amp; Chase Wilsey oder seinem Podcast-Plattformpartner hochgeladen und bereitgestellt. Wenn Sie glauben, dass jemand Ihr urheberrechtlich geschütztes Werk ohne Ihre Erlaubnis nutzt, können Sie dem hier beschriebenen Verfahren folgen https://de.player.fm/legal.
Smart Investing is the radio show where Brent and Chase try to make investing easier to understand. They demonstrate long-term investment strategies to help you find good value investments.
…
continue reading
7 Episoden
Alle als (un)gespielt markieren ...
Manage series 2879359
Inhalt bereitgestellt von Brent & Chase Wilsey and Amp; Chase Wilsey. Alle Podcast-Inhalte, einschließlich Episoden, Grafiken und Podcast-Beschreibungen, werden direkt von Brent & Chase Wilsey and Amp; Chase Wilsey oder seinem Podcast-Plattformpartner hochgeladen und bereitgestellt. Wenn Sie glauben, dass jemand Ihr urheberrechtlich geschütztes Werk ohne Ihre Erlaubnis nutzt, können Sie dem hier beschriebenen Verfahren folgen https://de.player.fm/legal.
Smart Investing is the radio show where Brent and Chase try to make investing easier to understand. They demonstrate long-term investment strategies to help you find good value investments.
…
continue reading
7 Episoden
Alla avsnitt
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Smart Investing with Brent & Chase Wilsey

1 May 23rd, 2025 | U.S. Credit Downgrade, EV Declines, 401(k) Private Investments, New SALT Proposal, CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA), First Solar (FSLR), Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI), & UnitedHealth Group (UNH) 55:39
The U.S. just received a downgrade to its credit rating, should you worry? Last week, Moody’s announced it downgraded the United States sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1. While a downgrade is important to understand and can have negative consequences for interest rates, this downgrade did not seem too problematic. I mainly say that because Moody’s was the last major credit rating agency to have the U.S. at the highest possible rating. The first downgrade carried the most weight in my opinion as it had the highest shock value. Standard & Poor’s was the first to move in August 2011 and the stock market fell 6.66% the session after the announcement. Fitch then lowered its rating on U.S. debt in August 2023 and the stock market lost 1.38%. After this Moody’s downgrade the stock market seemed to have little reaction as it actually had a small increase following the news. While this downgrade may sound scary, I don’t believe it will have long term… Demand for electric vehicles is falling dramatically Electric vehicle sales in the month of April declined 5% while the overall car market grew by 10%. This is only the third monthly decline in four years for electric vehicles. The reason for the decline is consumers are watching their spending more than they have in a while and many of the deals and promotions for electric vehicles have disappeared. It was not just Tesla who had difficulty because of Elon Musk’s political association, but even Kia, Hyundai and Ford experienced drops. Rivian was hit hardest on their R1T pickup truck as it saw a 50% decline in sales for… High risk, private market investments are showing up in more 401(k) plans Another big 401K provider called Empower who oversees $1.8 trillion in 401(k) assets for about 19 million people has decided it will start allowing private credit, equity and real estate in some of the accounts they administer later this year. I think this is a terrible idea for investors. I have seen the back end of these private deals and many times investors have made no money from them and can only get out a little bit of their money at a time, while they are suffering from low returns and high fees. No surprise Wall Street loves these private market investments because of high fees, which range anywhere from 1% to 2% of the portfolio balance on an annual basis. One way… Financial Planning: Who Benefits from the new SALT proposal? The current SALT deduction allows taxpayers who itemize to deduct up to $10,000 of certain state and local taxes, most importantly their state income taxes and property taxes, from their federal taxable income. The new proposal in the House bill would raise this cap to $40,000 for households earning under $500,000, with a phaseout that fully eliminates the expanded deduction at $600,000. Married and single tax filers alike with incomes over $600,000 would be subject to the $10,000 SALT limit. This change is intended to benefit middle- and upper-middle-income taxpayers in high-tax… Companies Discussed: CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA), First Solar, Inc. (FSLR), Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI), & UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH)…
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Smart Investing with Brent & Chase Wilsey

1 May 16th, 2025 | U.S. Tariffs and China, Inflation, AI and Jobs, Oil Prices, Trusts and Retirement Accounts, Dick’s Sporting Goods(DKS), Charter Communications(CHTR), Krispy Kreme(DNUT) & Lyft(LYFT) 55:38
U.S. Tariffs are hurting China Exports from China have dropped dramatically which has weighed on China’s economy. This has caused protests due to lost jobs and wages in their economy. Exports from China to the United States dropped 20% in April, but China did pick up exports from other countries like Indonesia, Thailand and Africa. While this may help a little, the export dollars for China to these other countries pales in comparison to the mighty consumption of the US consumer. China’s economy depends on exports considering the fact that in 2024 1/3 of GDP growth came from exports. The Chinese government is… Inflation continues to cool The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of April came in at a 12-month rate of 2.3%, which was below the estimate of 2.4% and marked the lowest reading since February 2021. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, came in at 2.8% which matched expectations and was in line with March’s reading. Energy was a major help to the headline number as it fell 3.7% compared to last year with gasoline in particular down 11.8% over that timeframe. While this is all great many… Could artificial intelligence create more jobs? Many people think that artificial intelligence, also known as AI, is going to reduce jobs for people. The CEO of IBM, who admits that AI has replaced hundreds of workers, said it has created more jobs than it has eliminated. He went on to say it frees up investment that the employer can put to other areas that include such jobs as software engineering, sales, & marketing. Normal things like creating spreadsheets and other routine tasks can be done with… Oil at $50 a barrel? There is talk that we could see oil drop from around $60 a barrel down to $50 a barrel, which would be a big benefit for consumers at the pump. The reason for this is that OPEC and its allies are increasing production of oil faster than anyone expected. By June they could be producing nearly 1,000,000 more barrels of oil per day compared to current levels. The United States is currently the number one producer of oil in the world with production of nearly 15,000,000 barrels per day. If you’re wondering… Financial Planning: Trusts and Retirement Accounts Do Not Mix Naming a living trust as the beneficiary of a retirement account—such as an IRA or 401(k)—is generally not a good idea due to potential tax inefficiencies and administrative complexity. Under the SECURE Act, the "stretch IRA" option has been largely eliminated for most non-spouse beneficiaries, and replaced with a 10-year rule requiring the entire account to be withdrawn within a decade of the original owner's death. If a trust is named as the beneficiary and it isn’t specifically drafted to be the beneficiary of a retirement account, it may not qualify for this 10-year treatment and could… Companies Discussed: Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS), Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR), Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) & Lyft, Inc. (LYFT)…
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Smart Investing with Brent & Chase Wilsey

1 May 9th, 2025 | Palantir Technologies, Big Money Managers, Apple’s Stock, Retirement Income Taxation, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG), Block, Inc. (XYZ), Amazon, Inc. (AMZN) & McDonald's (MCD) 55:44
Why I won’t be buying Palantir technologies anytime soon When I’m out in public many times people ask me what my opinions are when it comes to investing, the markets or individual stocks. I have to say the one stock that people seem to be asking the most about recently is Palantir Technologies, their ticker symbol is PLTR. I believe I’m asked about this company because investors look at the hype of the past performance and the fact that this stock is up over 1,000% since going public in 2020. That creates excitement for investors, but is it worth buying now? The company currently trades around 60 times next year’s estimated sales, and again that is sales not earnings! That makes it the most expensive stock in the S&P 500. There are signs that growth outside of the US is slowing and I don’t like that they have three unnamed companies that accounted for 17% of the total revenue last year. Usually hype like this goes the same path, which ultimately results in large losses for buyers at this point in the cycle. A more recent example comes from the company Snowflake. In 2021... Good news, only 26% of big money managers are bullish A recent poll from Barron‘s magazine, which they conduct twice a year, found that only 26% of big money managers were bullish and thought stocks would go up while 74% were either neutral or bearish on stocks. They said 32% of respondents were bearish and that was the highest percent since 1997 while the 26% that were bullish marked the lowest reading since 1997. I think Barron’s Magazine is a good source of information, but I was disappointed that they did not list the years of experience of the managers that were being polled. The reason for my concern is that the last big negative in the economy and the market was in 2008, which was 17 years ago. A current manager that graduated school at age 23 would now be 40 years old and they did not experience managing money through 2008. Living through and managing money through a challenge like that provided me with extremely valuable lessons that younger managers... Apple’s stock continues to amaze me There seems to be so much negative news that continues to come out against Apple, but the stock continues to remain relatively steady given the amount of negativity. We all know about the tariffs and the delayed AI rollout, but I was definitely concerned by a couple announcements that would have large impacts on Apple’s service revenue. This segment has been a bright spot for Apple, but in the most recent quarter it missed expectations and grew at just 11.6% compared to last year. The big concern I have is around Alphabet’s estimated payment of around $20 billion annually to be the default search engine. There is concern if this will hold up given the ruling that Alphabet holds a monopoly and the need for remedies, but also this week Apple executive, Eddy Cue, added additional concerns. He stated the searches in Apple’s Safari browser fell for the first time in April, something that has never happened in 20 years. He then added that the iPhone maker is looking at adding AI search options to the Safari browser. If they did this, would Alphabet really want to keep paying $20 billion a year for that right? I don’t think so! The other major concern that seemed to get little attention was the fact that in a recent ruling a judge ordered Apple... Financial Planning: Breaking Down Retirement Income Taxation Retirement income varies widely in tax treatment, with some sources being far less tax-friendly than others. In order from worst to best, pension payments and traditional IRA withdrawals are among the least favorable—they're fully taxable as... Companies Discussed: The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG), Block, Inc. (XYZ), Amazon, Inc. (AMZN) & McDonald's Corporation (MCD)…
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Smart Investing with Brent & Chase Wilsey

1 May 2nd, 2025 | Chinese Stocks, Jobs Report, Job Openings, Recession, Home Title Theft, Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (ZBH), Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO), Northrop Grumman (NOC) & (GOOG) 55:40
Should the United States delist Chinese stocks? At first thought with all the craziness of the trade war it sounds like delisting all the Chinese companies from the American stock markets may be a good idea. It is important to know that there are 286 Chinese companies listed on major US stock exchanges. You’ll recognize some of the names like Alibaba, Baidu and JD.com. It is estimated by analysts at Goldman Sachs that US institutional investors currently own about $830 billion worth of Chinese stocks. That is more than two times what… Jobs report shows more evidence the economy is in good shape US nonfarm payrolls grew by 177k in the month of April, which easily topped the estimate of 133k. Jobs remained robust in health care as the sector added 51k jobs in the month of April and employment in transportation and warehousing and financial activities was also strong as the groups added 29k and 14k jobs respectively in the month. Other categories like construction, manufacturing, leisure… Job openings look problematic on the surface In the March Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, job openings totaled 7.2 million. This was below February’s reading of 7.5 million and the estimate, which also stood at 7.5 million. This is still not super concerning to me. We tend to forget how strong the labor market has been and while we continue to see a softening, there is plenty of room before I see cause for concern. Just for reference, job openings in 2019 averaged approximately 7.2 million, in 2018 they averaged approximately 6.8 million, and in 2017 they averaged approximately 6.2 million. Compare that to where… Are we in the middle of a recession? The first reading of Q1 GDP showed a decrease of 0.3%. A recession is generally defined as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, so some may argue we are half way there. Let us not forget in 2022 we did see two consecutive quarters of declining GDP as Q1 declined 1.4% and Q2 showed an advance estimate that was down 0.9%. After further research the second quarter ended up seeing a total reversal and it is now… Financial Planning: Protecting Yourself from Home Title Theft Home title theft is a type of real estate fraud where someone illegally transfers the ownership of your home by forging your name on title documents. This is often done using stolen personal information to file fraudulent deeds with the county recorder’s office. Once the title appears to be in their name, the thief may try to… Companies Discussed: Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (ZBH), Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO), Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)…
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Smart Investing with Brent & Chase Wilsey

1 April 25th, 2025 | Gold Investment, University Endowments, Trade Wars & Home Prices, Converting Pretax, Netflix (NFLX), The Walt Disney Company (DIS), Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) & (UNH) 55:40
Should you invest in gold for the long term? Gold has been a great asset to hold over the last year, but I remain a skeptic of investing in gold long term. I personally don’t own any gold nor would I recommend buying gold at this point in time. While the recent gains in the price of gold look attractive, given the fact it is up over 20% so far this year in a difficult market, the long-term results aren’t enticing. There are periods of time where gold has been a strong performer, but trying to guess those periods is... Why is the government supporting universities with large endowments? I’ve never really thought about this before. I have known that some big universities have multibillion dollar endowment funds, but I did not realize that 658 institutions have approximately $874 billion, which is nearly $1trillion in endowment funds. When I dug a little bit deeper, I discovered that in addition to these universities receiving money from the federal government via grants, some pay little or no income tax and also get a waiver on property taxes. If you’re starting to get a little bit irritated at this point because your hard-working dollars are going to universities like Harvard that has a $53 billion endowment or Yale with a $41 billion endowment, you might be like me and think it’s time that... Could the trade wars hurt home prices? We are starting to see some cracks in the housing market, such as the delinquency rate on FHA mortgages, which cater to the high-risk borrowers who can’t qualify for a conventional mortgage because they either have a small down payment or weak credit. The delinquency rate for FHA currently stands at 11% according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, it has not been at this level for 12 years. Unfortunately... Financial Planning: Why converting 100% of pretax is bad Roth conversions can be a powerful tax planning tool, but like any tool, using it the wrong way can do more harm than good. One of the most common mistakes we see is the idea that you should convert all of your pre-tax retirement savings, like a traditional IRA or 401(k), to a Roth account. Everyone loves the idea of a tax-free retirement. When you convert... Companies Discussed: Netflix (NFLX), The Walt Disney Company (DIS), Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) & UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH)…
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Smart Investing with Brent & Chase Wilsey

1 April 19th, 2025 | Heartland States, Consumer Actions, TV Network Sports Deals, Life Insurance, Nvidia (NVDA), Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ), Car Max, Inc. (KMX) & (DOW) 55:40
Can the heartland states save our country? The heartland states are 20 states pretty much in the center of the country. They have been regaining economic strength over the years and currently about 39% of the US population lives in these states, according to the census bureau for 2024. The population growth in this area was above the rest of the country for the last five years with numbers that have not been seen in over 65 years. Employers in this area grew by 13.2% between 2020 to 2023 and business capital expenditures totaled $76.9 billion in 2023 and have seen an average annual growth of 9.43% since the beginning of Covid. These 20 states on average have established more business-friendly policies along with tax incentives and grant programs that draw businesses to their area. The East and the West Coast just can’t seem to compete with the affordability of states in the middle of America. These mid America states have lower cost for land and utilities are far less being as much as 1/3 less than the rest of the country. This is according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The overall cost of living is lower, so wages can also be lower and still provide a good standard of living for their employees. In my opinion, states like California and others need to wake up and realize that perhaps stats in Middle America are on to something with policies that are attracting new residents. It would appear that foreign companies coming to the United States... Consumer actions aren’t matching their words We continue to see negative surveys about consumer confidence and sentiment, but you wouldn’t think consumers feel bad after looking at the recent retail sales report. March sales climbed 4.6% compared to last year and if gas stations, which fell 4.3%, are excluded the report was even more impressive as it climbed 5.3%. Some of this is likely due to concerns over looming tariffs as consumers pull forward demand before expected price increases. Some areas that are likely more impacted did see large gains as motor vehicle and parts dealers saw an increase of 8.8% and sales at furniture and home furnishing stores climbed 7.7%. With those said gains were quite widespread in the report and areas that would not see a pull forward in demand like food services and drinking places still saw a nice gain of 4.8%. If people were truly worried about the economy, they would... Are TV networks tapped out on sports deals? Last year Disney signed a $2.6 billion a year deal with the NBA; however, ESPN said goodbye after a 35-year relationship with the MLB where they were paying $550 million a year for their package of games. One area of growth that surprised me was Formula One car racing as over the last six years it has... Financial Planning: Why Life Insurance Is a Poor Retirement Vehicle (And What to Do Instead) Cash value life insurance is often pitched as a tax-free retirement strategy. On the surface it sounds great. You get tax-deferred growth, tax-free loans, no contribution limits, and a death benefit, but when you look under the hood the numbers often don’t work out. First, the returns simply don’t compare. With Indexed Universal Life (IUL) or Whole Life, your cash value growth is limited by caps and participation rates, and you miss out on dividends. Add in the cost of insurance, admin fees, and other hidden charges, and the actual return on cash value often falls well below the market. Second, the fees get larger over time. The older you get, the higher your cost of insurance becomes which directly eats into your cash value. If you’re taking policy loans and the policy lapses, you could even get hit with a massive tax bill in retirement. Third, the opportunity cost is huge. The high premiums needed to fund a policy could instead be invested in assets with better returns, more liquidity, and lower fees. Meanwhile... Companies Discussed: Nvidia (NVDA), Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ), Car Max, Inc. (KMX) & (DOW)…
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