Palantir stock has soared to over $100 per share, representing a $250B+ valuation. Is Palantir stock a bubble? Or is it the next great AI Company? Well now, rumors are swirling that a contract with DOGE could be brewing and be driving the stock's metoric rise. Also there is an interesting connection between JD Vance, Peter Thiel and Alex Karp that …

Palantir stock exploded to $103/share on the back of its Q4 2024 earnings report and guidance. This represents a $258B valuation and a whopping 90X price/revenue. Strong AI numbers have accelerated topline growth to 36% in 2024, but guidance implied growth slowing to 31% in 2025. What are your thoughts? Can Alex Karp take Palantir all the way? Is i…

It was a legendary Tesla conference call!! Elon Musk sounded insanely focused and dialed in as he explained Tesla is planning to launch an self-driving robotaxi service in Austin in June of THIS YEAR. He also clarified he expects Tesla to launch full self driving in many regions across the US in 2025. Additionally, with Optimus and Cybercab Elon re…

Tesla has released Q4 2024 earnings!! The financial results were a little disappointing, but the guidance of "volume production" for Cybercab in 2026 has investors excited, with shares jumping back above $400 after hours. The update is full of new financials, guidance about the updated Model Y, Tesla Semi, energy storage business, Cybercab rollout,…

Tesla stock closed the day at $428 per share, representing a valuation of $1.5T. Reflecting on this milestone, I wanted to analyze what Tesla's financials were and what would be needed to justify a valuation of this level, and beyond. My high level theory is, Tesla is in a very unique spot. The core business is likely to generate $9B in GAAP operat…

G 2 a Milly hit the 1 year mark! Woo!! In this video series I'm documenting building a stock portfolio, open-sourced. Now we are 366 days in, and the portfolio is worth $38,673, with 64% in Tesla, 26% in Airbnb and 10% in Coinbase. 2025 is bringing a ton of interesting dynamics to markets, we discuss the post-election Trump Bump, Tesla's robotaxi a…

Tesla's Q4 2024 deliveries are hot off the press. Tesla delivered 495,000 cars in Q4, and just under 1.8M for the full year. Additionally, it was a huge quarter and year for energy storage with deployments hitting 11GWh in Q4. The stock was down about 6% on these numbers, after its huge run up in the final months of 2024. What are your thoughts on …

Elon Musk is the leader of 6 major companies changing our world: Tesla, SpaceX, X (formerly Twitter), XAI, Neuralink and The Boring Company. Today his companies are valued between $1.5-$2.5T depending on who you ask, and we think they are on track to be worth $100+ when it's all said and done. This is the Roman Empire of Capitalism, being built bef…

A new era of HyperChange is upon; The American Technological Renaissance. In this long-form podcast, we discuss our optimism surrounding the potential of using technology to improve our daily lives. We hold nothing back in this episode, covering Elon Musk's role in the new American government under Donald Trump, the idea of DOGE (Department of Gove…

Rivian Q3 results have arrived! Revenues dipped below $1B/quarter for the first time since 2023, and gross margins got even worse to negative 45%. The company is still guiding for positive gross margins in Q4 2024 which would be a major win for the company, and I'd be extremely impressed if they hit. My biggest concern when looking at the stock is …

Airbnb Q3 2024 results are hot off the press! Revenue grew 10% to $3.7B (all time high), and the company is planning to launch 1-2 new $1B+ revenue businesses next year, and every year going forward. On the conference call Brian Chesky kept comparing Airbnb today to Amazon when they were selling just books. Chesky sees the company expanding well be…

Donald Trump has just won the US Presidential election. Tesla stock is up 15% to its highest level in more than a year. What does this new American era mean for Tesla investors? A lot of the regulatory scrutiny (FSD, Elon's Pay Package) seems like it will go away. The regulatory approval path for FSD / Cybercab got way easier. And mainly, I think i…

Interview with Amit (aka @amitinvesting ), where we discuss Palantir's valuation and growth prospects, I pitch him on Airbnb stock, we talk about Tesla's Optimus bot, the upcoming election effect on markets and finally on Robinhood stock. It was a blast to scheme with Amit, who does livestreams on his channel for the market open. He has also become…

Tesla stock soared 21% today after a monster Q3 earnings beat. It was a big day for the portfolio. But something wasn't right ... I was still stressing because of my Airbnb options position. So I had to make the tough call to sell my options for a small gain and roll the position into plain, old, boring Airbnb equity. A prudent move in the long ter…

With US election just two weeks away, tensions are heating up. This could drive significant market volatility in the short term. I wanted to hop on to explain my take on the recent events with Elon Musk supporting Donald Trump so publicly and how that could impact the stock, depending on the election results. Then I dive into my Airbnb options bet …

Farzad Mesbahi comes on the channel to discuss Tesla's 10/10 event, the Cybercab, Robovan, Optimus and potentially something even bigger that the company didn't reveal on 10/10 ... a new affordable Tesla model that is set to enter production sometime in the first half of 2025. We also discuss Tesla's plans to launch an unsupervised full self drivin…

Tesla's 10/10 We, Robot event in Los Angeles, CA looked insane. After just watching the livestream, my FOMO is pumping. The haters will say the timeline is slow, but we just saw the future. Mini Cybertruck robotaxis, Cybercabs, and Robovans ... Optimus robots walking around the party and serving drinks. When will we see Tesla's first autonmous ride…

EVs are more like computers than cars. Early data is showing they can last 500,000+ miles, much further than the legacy gas cars they are disrupting. This is setting the state for an unprecedented change in the transportation economy, where ride sharing and autonomy become the norm over individual car ownership. With Waymo expanding rapidly, and Te…

The G 2 a Milly series continues!! Your boy is getting lucky, right now the portfolio is up 24.5% vs 11.7% for the S&P in the same period. In this episode I give an update on my thoughts on Tesla (and how I've been buying since the last portfolio update), and my favorite new stock, Airbnb! I go deep on my love for Airbnb as a customer and why I thi…

Tesla's earnings are hot off the press! Revenue of $25.5B (+2.3%) and profits of $1.6B. On the earnings call CEO Elon Musk stressed the importance of FSD, and how its set to transform Tesla's business. He confirmed the Robotaxi unveiling will be on 10/10, and provided an update on Optimus, saying it will begin Version 1 production in 2025, and Vers…

How much do you love the crunch of a fresh bagel ... or the gooey inside of a fresh cinnamon roll 🤤 When the inevitable future of self-driving cars & humanoid robots surrounds us everyday, breakfast will never be the same. Freshly baked goods, I'm talking Cinnamon Rolls, Bagels, Croissants & more, will, be available to the masses. Robots teaming up…

Back on the lake in 90+ degree heat in Seattle pondering Tesla stocks zoom to $250+ per share, and $800B valuation. In this episode I explain my metaphor for analyzing stocks as Pokemon to understand businesses, and layering that framework to understand Tesla. The trifecta of technology pillars that Elon & squad have developed (battery and driving …

Welcome to my new super-artisanal-limited-edition Summer Scheme Series: PaddleSchemin!!! This is just me having fun on the lake rambling about all the topics & schemes I'm having. In this episode we cover the following: 0:00 Live from Seattle, WA1:08 Tesla Deliveries1:33 Seaplane Takeoff2:24 Travis Kalanick joining Tesla Cybercab project!?5:08 Bump…

Supercharging rant about how awesome it was to rent a Tesla on Turo and FSD to Grammy's house instead of taking the bus there. And it was only $240! ($290 including post trip supercharging reimbursement) vs ~$220 for the bus. And it took less time because the bus stops (and I didn't have to subway to the bus station). Shoutout Turo! On the drive wh…

Elon Musk is betting on Tesla's autonomous future. The company is going all out to perfect its FSD technology and launch a Uber competitor/ride-sharing app later this year. After hearing Elon's excitement on FSD V12, on the conference call, mentioning the Cybercab, and stressing how important it was for investors to understand ... I've been doing h…

Tesla Q1 2024 earnings are hot off the press! Tesla crushes it with a surprise $1B+ GAAP profit, strong guidance and and absolutely legendary conference call. Tesla is going all in on FSD with the new V12 rewrite, and its Robotaxi event on 8/8, where it looks like the 'Cybercab' will be unveiled. Elon Musk shocked Tesla fans and shareholders on the…

Tesla stock falls to it's lowest in years, and I'm buying. Here's my rant on everything from the recent layoffs, Elon's motivation & pay package, to the Robotaxi launch on 8/8, Cybertruck progress, Austin factory expansion, FSD taking over & so much more!! I even read my Ode to Austin & Cybertruck Poem lol.…

Welcome to Episode 4 of HyperChange Breaking News (HCBN). We're bringing you tech news from the future, with a fun, fair and positive vibe, each week. Experimenting and improving the show as we go. Let us know your feedback!! Hosted by Galileo Russell & Aidan Gold, HyperChange Breaking News (HCBN) is available for free worldwide on YouTube, X & all…

Welcome to Episode 3 of HyperChange Breaking News (HCBN). We're bringing you tech news from the future, with a fun, fair and positive vibe, each week. Experimenting and improving the show as we go. Let us know your feedback!! Hosted by Galileo Russell & Aidan Gold, HyperChange Breaking News (HCBN) is available for free worldwide on YouTube, X & all…

It's going to be a rough 2 years for Rivian. I decided to sell my tiny position, as I think dilution is coming. Rivian has only ~$9B in cash, and is burning $1.4B per quarter. The company can't make money on it's $100K R1S & R1T, so I'm not convinced they will be able to make a profit on the $45,000 R2. I love the company and brand, but the busines…

Welcome to Episode 2 of HyperChange Breaking News (HCBN). We're bringing you tech news from the future, with a fun, fair and positive vibe, each week. Experimenting and improving the show as we go. Let us know your feedback!! Hosted by Galileo Russell & Aidan Gold, HyperChange Breaking News (HCBN) is available for free worldwide on YouTube, X & all…

Welcome to Episode 1 of HyperChange Breaking News (HCBN). We're bringing you tech news from the future, with a fun, fair and positive vibe, each week. Experimenting and improving the show as we go. Let us know your feedback!! Hosted by Galileo Russell & Aidan Gold, HyperChange Breaking News (HCBN) is available for free worldwide on YouTube, X & all…

Rivian has officially unveiled it's R2, a $45,000 electric vehicle set to debut in 2026. It was an epic unveiling event, and very highly anticipated by the whole EV community. Rivian didn't just unveil it's R2, but CEO/Founder RJ Scaringe also unveiled a totally new, even smaller R3 platform. This was super unexpected, and paves way for the ultra-p…

Interview with Sampriti Bhattacharyya, whose electric flying boat startup, Navier, promises to transform how we move people and goods in our coastal cities. In just 4 years, Navier has gone from concept to entering production. The Alameda, CA based startup has already signed a deal to shuttle Strip employees back and forth across the bay. This is o…

Episode #4 of G 2 a Milly. So many moves made! I doubled down on Tesla, bought and sold Apple calls (inspiring a deep life crisis about options) and started my toe in the water position in Rivian. As of the time of this episode, the portfolio consists of 40% Tesla, 27% Apple, 23% Coinbase, 5% Rivian, 4% Bitcoin. Public referral: https://public.com/…

Tesla stock crumbled 12% after Q4 2024 earnings. Guidance for a lower growth rate in deliveries has analysts missing the bigger picture. On the conference call Tesla announced that both its $25K robotaxi product and Tesla Optimus robot could begin production as soon as 2025! This is huge news for long term shareholders.…

Episode 3 of G 2 a Milly!! Day 12, portfolio value $2,719. Power moves were made since the last episode. I took advantage of a down day in the markets to double down on my two favorite positions, Tesla & Coinbase, as well as adding a little bit of Bitcoin. I answered 12 viewer calls in this episode, huge shoutout to everyone who called in, we cover…

This Elon control/voting power conversation has me SCHEMIN. What if Tesla just did a massive share buy back to reduce its share-count (giving Elon more % control). It might be too early, and would have to start slow, but in the long run this seems like an inevitable way to return capital to shareholders. What's your take on this?…

Tesla drama over the long-weekend as Elon Musk posted on X about his ownership and voting control of the company. Now that he's completed his 2018 compensation package, Elon isn't being paid to run Tesla, and has below 25% voting control. Now he's made it clear he wants at least 25% of the voting shares, but a Delaware court case is holding up his …

G 2 A Milly, Episode 2: Diversification or Nah. The portfolio sits at $1,232 as Gali accumulates more Tesla and Coinbase stock. This is the first user Q&A with 5 questions, ranging from the health of legacy automakers, how to analyze a new company like Toast (TOST), to whether or not to diversify. Let me know what you think in the comments! And don…

G 2 A Milly Episode #1!!! Day 1, portfolio value $997. In this episode, I announce this new show where I'll be open-source building a portfolio. The first $1,000 is transferred into my account, and I invest it into Tesla & Coinbase. Also set up a recurring addition of $250 every two weeks into my brokerage account. I'm stoked to roll my snowball on…

January 2024 analysis for Tesla stock financials, deliveries and valuation. Covering everything from Robotaxi's, Q4 deliveries, Cybertruck ramp, FSD to valuation impact from Optimus robot. It's been wayyy too long since I did a full brain dump with all my thoughts on Tesla stock so here it is!!

Tesla recorded $500M+ in gross profit from its Energy and Services (Supercharging) segments in Q3 2023. Elon Musk noted how strong energy gross margins were on the call, and insinuated strength in these businesses will continue. I think this is a super exciting development for Tesla investors as the company can smooth out cyclicality in it's automo…

Rivian has successfully launched it's R1T, R1S and delivery van products, they are amazing. But financially, the company is in a difficult situation. Cash burn is still above $1B per quarter, and the company will need billions more to fund the R2 factory. Going forward it will be fascinating to see the company walk the tightrope between conserving …

Starlink has officially announced that it has crossed 2.3M users across 70 countries. A rough financial estimate of $100/month/user in revenue means Starlink is at $2.8B in annual recurring revenue. If you add in hardware revenue, we're likely well over a $3B run-rate. Starlink is fully owned by SpaceX, and is rumored to be going for an IPO in the …

From urban package deliveries, to minbus ride-sharing, an autonomous Tesla Robovan has massive potential. Rivian's electric delivery van concept has delivered 10,000 units to Amazon and on the cusp of expanding to numerous other companies (like AT&T). Elon Musk has hinted at a highly configurable robovan concept for people and cargo in the past. If…

ZBiotics is pushing the limits of technology, by creating a new patented bacteria ZB183 that is designed to eat acetaldehyde in your gut, and reduce the negative affects of drinking AKA curing the hangover. I had the amazing privilege of getting an exclusive tour of the Mountain View lab from the CEO Zachary Abbot and COO Stephen Lamb. This genetic…

Rivian's electric delivery van (EDV) business has quietly been making some huge moves. It generated over $400M in revenue in Q3 alone, and just signed a new partnership with AT&T. Now that Amazon doesn't have exclusive rights to buy the van Rivian will begin to do pilot projects with a bunch of new customers. Surprisingly, the gross margins on the …

Cybertruck deliveries have begun! With a 2M order backlog the question now becomes how many of these will convert into real orders. In this video I share my projections for Cybertruck sales and demand. Five out of the top eight best-selling vehicles in America are pickup trucks, with a combined 2.1M in sales. The addressable market is clearly massi…

Tesla has unveiled Gen 2 of it's Optimus Robot ... and WOW, the progress in the past year has been incredible. Tesla is well on their way to commercializing a humanoid robot later this decade. This represents the biggest change in Tesla's addressable market ever, as the potential sales from a humanoid robot to replace manual labor could be $25T. Fo…