The freight industry has long been thought of the circulatory system of the economy.It's how the things bought & sold through commerce get from point A to point B in the real world. Historically, when trucking frieght loads diminish, it's usually correlated with a weakening economy. And if it gets bad enough, a recession.Today's guest is Craig Full…

When you're uncertain, they say to seek the counsel of those smarter than you.Well, amongst the many experts I interview on this channel, Michael Green is definitely in the top cohort intellectual horsepower-wise.Mike is portfolio manager & chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management which holds over $6 billion in client assets.And today, we'll t…

Volatility returned to the stock market this week.Partly due to growing concerns about the sustainability of the AI spending boom.Partly due to further stresses building in the credit market.And also due to a growing shortfall of liquidity.Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz and I discuss each of these in depth in this week's Market Recap.For everyt…

WANT HELP INVESTING IN MINING STOCKS? SCHEDULE A FREE CONSULTATION with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comPrecious metals mining company analyst Jeff Clark shares his top picks for gold & silver mining companies.#goldprice #silverprice #miningstocks _____________________________________________ Thought…

TO BUY SILVER & GOLD, contact Andy's firm at [email protected] precious metals appear to have recovered from their recent pullback as gold futures vaulted over $4,200/oz today while silver futures surpassed $53/oz.So, is the precious metals rally back on?I asked this question to Andy Schectman in today’s livestream. He think it very well ma…

I always say the most valuable people to interview are capital allocators, because they have to answer to their clients for their market calls.They are judged not by their opinions, but by their results.Today, we're fortunate to hear from one of the most-respected capital management firms in the world: Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo -- which was co-f…

In today's discussion we look at the all-important energy market. Remember, without energy, there is no economy.As we look to the future, where are global energy trends headed?How is the AI race and its voracious need for cheap electrons changing the game?And where are the best opportunities for investors likely to lie?To discuss in depth, we're fo…

There are now such a host of reasons to have concern for both the economy & markets heading into 2026, that the Wall Street euphoria is starting to wear off.The headwinds are building, cautions Lance Roberts.Slowing growth, unrealistic earnings expectations and historically-high valuations are all good reasons to worry.Lance and I discuss his outlo…

Dollar Milkshake Theory creator, Brent Johnson sits down with me at the New Orleans Investment Conference to offer a detailed look into the rise and future role of USD stablecoins, which are being heartily embraced by the Trump Administration.Why exactly?In short, Brent sees the new stablecoin strategy as not just a means to soak up the $trillions …

Wall Street's fears of Trump's tariffs and trade wars are greatly diminished these days -- at least by the stock market which has been flirting with new highs of late.Now that we're nearing the end of the year and a resurgence in inflation hasn't materialized, and new trade deals have been or are being finalized with many of America's largest tradi…

In this latest monthly outlook from the advisors at New Harbor Financial, John and Mike discuss investing in a world of nosebleed valuations levels during a time when the Fed is cutting rates.This doesn't happen often.What makes more sense: Ride the current party until it ends? Or play it safe and leave it early?We also discuss whether the gold tra…

Stock valuations are the most deviated they've ever been from long-term trendlines in history.Above even 1929.But Wall Street doesn't care. The bull rally marches on, and looks poised to continue through the end of the year.But how long can this record deviation sustain?And what will the repercussions be if it doesn't?Portfolio manager Lance Robert…

As of the recording of this video, the S&P 500 index is trading at a new all-time high, within less than 100 points of the big round 7,000 milestone.And Nvidia just became the first $5 trillion market cap company in history.So the bull market in stocks appears to be doing just fine -- despite the skeptic's worries that current valuations are far to…

On this channel we spend most of our time talking about the economy, markets and money.Which are all very important -- no doubt -- but they exist in service to society. If society reaches a point where it starts unraveling, then our portfolios start to matter a lot less when compared to safety & survival. Today's guest expert is Peter Turchin, Proj…

It's easy to feel confused these days.With the stock market at all-time highs, some analysts predict this bull market has a lot longer to run as the busiiness-friendly policies of the new Administration start adding tailwinds to the economy.Others see economic growth as imbalanced, at best, and worry that overall the trend for 2026 is downwards, ri…

Have markets now made it safely through the seasonal risk of October? Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz thinks they likely have, barring some surprise curveball. Which is why, should conditions remain steady, Michael sees stocks trending higher into year end. He and I discuss why, as well as inflation, housing, recession risk, bond yields, gold an…

When today's guest was last on this channel back in July, he warned that a 'triumvirate" of three massive asset price bubbles -- in credit, real estate and stocks -- threatened to take down our fragile economy and dash the retirement hopes for millions.Since then, the bubbles have only expanded.Will they expand further -- or pop -- in 2026?To find …

BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceWell, the Fall Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I’m delighted to say the event was a real success.That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insi…

Today's guest suggests that for much of the past three years, the economy & financial markets have been boosted by a "sugar high" cocktail including prodigous fiscal stimulus from the government, massive AI capex outlays from the private sector, a wave of incremental consumer spending from waves of millions of illegal immigrants.But now he warns th…

When market uncertainty is as high as it is now, I often emphasize that the most useful people to interview are asset managers.Because they don't have the luxury of merely having an opinion on the road ahead -- they have to commit capital to their convictions, and be judged upon the results.Today we have the great fortune of having the return appea…

Well, this week certainly was not a dull one.It saw growing fears of credit contagion from "cockroach" corporations as the fallout from TriColor and First Brands now spreads to regional banks.The President whipsawed markets with a "yes, we are/no, we aren't" barrage of tweets on a trade war with China.Bitcoin and the crypto complex took their lumps…

Macro analyst Stephanie Pomboy returns to discuss rising market volatility, record gold & silver prices, concerning failures in the private credit industry & other signs of rising systemic stress.She also takes live viewer Q&A#goldprice #creditspreads #artificialintelligence 0:00 - Gold & Silver Rally: Early Innings or Pullback Ahead?2:16 - Silver'…

TO BUY SILVER & GOLD, contact Andy's firm at [email protected] silver having just exploded above $50/oz, many of you have reached out to me asking about what’s driving the surge & if there’s still time to join the party.So I invited precious metals expert Andy Schectman on for a livestream this morning to discuss to all things silver.To li…

The housing market remains in an injured state, with transactions still frozen and an increasing number of states seeing falling prices.But...the Federal Reserve has resumed rate cuts and mortgage rates are lower than at the start of the year.So, will we start to see some healing in the housing market as we head into 2026?Or will things get worse f…

Portfolio manager Michael Lebowtiz looks back at the red-hot rise in stocks over the past two month and asks:Have stocks moved too far too fast?Can this continue without a pullback first? YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#investing #marketcor…

Wall Street is partying hard right now with stocks at all-time highs.Unless a significant correction happens soon, the S&P will put in its third year of double-digit returns in a row.But pressures are building.The AI juggernaut, which is driving so much of the US economy and the market's rise these days, increasingly appears to be in bubble territo…

The Debt-to-GDP ratio of the world's largest economies is rising at a frightening pace as reckless deficit spending has become the order of the day.This is increasingly pushing investors into asset classes that offer protection from the inflation/loss of fiat currency purchasing power that results.Meanwhile, the gargantuan buildout of processing po…

Much concern has been raised of late about how the economy is slowing and recession risk is rising.But is that really true?Or, could we already be through the worst of things, with the economy strengthening from here?To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with Dr Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Prior to her cur…

At this point, the stock market is being driven nearly entirely by sentiment and momentum.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts thinks the odds are good that will continue as the allure of S&P 7,000 entices investors to keep buying dips through the remainder of the year.He and I discuss the technical reasons for this, as well as the impact of the governm…

While many analysts are worried about the weakening jobs market, today's guest thinks it might be exactly what's needed for the economy to get...better?Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist & managing director at Piper Sandler, is best known for his H.O.P.E. framework -- which predicts how recessions start and end.Michael sees the economy…

TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceDavid Hay delivers his macro & market outlook -- plus takes your live Q&A#bonds #marketcorrection #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor P…

Gold is up 40% this year.Silver's up almost 50%.And the mining stocks as a sector are up over 100%.Has the big money in precious metals now been made?Or is the party just getting started?For answers to all things gold, silver and the companies that mine them, we fortunate to speak with Brien Lundin, CEO of Jefferson Financial, publisher of GoldNews…

Today's guest has long been warning that the US -- as well as many other countries -- is now in an era of fiscal dominance.That's when fiscal spending gets out of control, like a runaway train.It becomes so large that it becomes the primary determinant of economic growth and inflation -- steamrolling over any impact of monetary policy or private se…

The leading economic indicators are showing that the economy is slowing further. Are we headed into recession?It's too early to tell.But it does put today's sky-high stock valuations in doubt, as they depend on very strong earnings growth next year -- which increasingly look at odds with the decelerating economic data.This boosts the chance of a co…

In this latest monthly outlook from the advisors at New Harbor Financial, John and Mike discuss investing in a world of nosebleed valuations levels during a time when the Fed is cutting rates.This doesn't happen often.What makes more sense: Ride the current party until it ends? Or play it safe and leave it early?We evaluate the options in today's v…

Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz joins us live to explain why he remains bullish on bonds here in the near term, as well as to take your Q&A#bonds #treasurybonds #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investo…

When today's guest was last on the program back in May, he made the bold prediction that new all-time highs for the stock market were just weeks away.And he was right.And since then, markets have continued powering higher, trading at a new all-time high the day of this recording.So, is he still bullish on the markets prospects for the remainder of …

The stock market is back in party mode since zooming back to all-time highs in the wake of the April Liberation Day lows.And the Fed just cut its policy rate for the first time this year, and guided that more cuts likely lie ahead.So, can the bulls remain in charge and keep powering asset prices higher into 2026?Or are the many potential risks, not…

Right now nearly every asset class in rising in price simultaneously.And many indices and individual securities are hitting all-time highs.Investors are getting increasingly confident -- which explains the ongoing melt-up.How long will it last?And when it reverses, will it do so gently? Or violently?The longer the current momentum continues at this…

When Sven Henrich of NorthmanTrader.com was last on this program in May, he stated that it was "do or die time for the bears" Well...it seems they died. Since May, the S&P has rocketed to new all-time highsWe now see many equity valuation levels at their most extended levels in all of history.Though this is happening at a time when the global econo…

TO BUY GOLD & SILVER, contact Andy's firm at [email protected] Precious metals expert Andy Schectman joined me for a livestream to discuss the significance of the ongoing breakout in gold and silver.What’s been behind it?Is it played out or is it just getting started?We addressed those key questions as well as several new developments (e.g., s…

SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Oxbow at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/oxbowStock valuations are at their highest EVER, by many metrics.So much so that a recent guest on this channel calls them "pornographically" overvalued.And these lofty valuations come at a time when the macro data reveals the economy is slowing down.How long can this…

LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT inv…

Today's guest has been a relatively recent entrant into the world of macroeconomic analysis, but he has certainly made a big splash within a short period of time.Chris Irons is the author and publisher of Quoth The Raven, which has become one of most popular financial newsletters around, currently sitting at #25 in the list of top financial Substac…

The cost of capital is rising.Inflation may be more present in future years, especially as we re-shore manufacturing.And as we re-shore it, we are also re-introducing our economy's exposure to the natural business cycle -- something we'd largely been able to divorce our exposure to by pushing it onto other countries during the era of Globalization.…

It's a tricky time for investors right now.We're seeing increasing signs the economy is slowing down, but nearly all assets are surging in price right now.Some, like many stocks, are at all--time high valuations levels. Even though the weakening economic data increasingly makes their forward earnings forecasts look unattainable.Bond yields remain e…

In this new monthly macro/market recap with veteran investor David Hay, we go deep into the major trends in motion currently: an increasing number of recessionary indicators, a fast-deteriorating housing market, higher for longer bond yields, stubborn secular inflation, and a promising outlook for the commodity complex.Let us know in the Comments i…

The jobs market is starting to show signs of being in real trouble.August payrolls were a huge disappointment, coming in at a VERY weak 22k (vs expectations of 75k).And the June payrolls number was revised downwards to a LOSS of -13k jobs,. On top of that, this week's JOLTS data revealed that there are now *fewer* jobs openings than applicants, som…

After a year of projecting confidence in America's "strong" and "resilient" economy, at his recent Jackson Hole appearance, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suddenly changed his tune.He expressed concern about the deteriorating labor market, saying the situation may warrant a resumption of monetary easing notwithstanding the potential inflationa…