Nate Silver öffentlich
[search 0]
Mehr

Download the App!

show episodes
 
Politics. Policy. Polling. Pop Culture. Explore what America's thinking with two of the country's leading pollsters-the bipartisan team of Democrat Margie Omero and Republican Kristen Soltis Anderson. In this weekly podcast we take a fresh, friendly look at the numbers driving the week's biggest stories in news, politics, tech, entertainment and pop culture. Along with the occasional interview with pollsters, journalists, and other industry leaders, we'll lift the hood on the numbers reveali ...
 
Loading …
show series
 
Large Voter Turnout Voter Turnout Appears Steady; Enthusiasm Running High (Gallup) Who Will Win? Who Do Voters Think Will Win (Navigator) Cookie Poll Three Brothers Bakery Presidential Cookie Poll Has Accurately Predicted Winner of Last 3 Elections (KHOU) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices…
 
Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election Presidential General Election (RealClear Politics) Coronavirus Coronavirus Upends Nation, as Three in Four Americans' Lives Changed by Pandemic (ABC News/Ipsos) Governors Get High Marks For Handling COVID-19 Crisis (Monmouth) Tracking Public Opinion on the Coronavirus (Morn…
 
Florida Democratic Primary Who Different Groups Supported (New York Times) National Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Coronavirus Trump Earns Mixed Grades on Coronavirus Response (Politico/Morning Consult)…
 
Democratic Primary Florida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Biden Crushes Sanders In Democratic Race (Quinnipiac) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Approval of U.S. Congressional Republicans Tops Democrats (Gallup) Coron…
 
Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Florida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Michigan Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Trump Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Corona Beer and the Coronavirus The Spread of the Coronavirus Couldn't Have Come at …
 
Democratic National Primary Democratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight) South Carolina Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Debate Watchers Believe Bernie Sanders Made the Best Case for Defeating Trump (YouGov) Trump Job Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election General Election (RealClear Politics) Republicans Increasingl…
 
Democratic National Primary Democratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Opens Up Double-Digit National Lead in Primary Race (NBC News/WSJ) Sanders Leads The Field, Bloomberg Qualifies For His 1st Debate (NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist) Nevada Primary Nevada Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Has Strong Lead in Nevada(Data for Progress)…
 
Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Who's Ahead in New Hampshire (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Takes Top Spot In Dem Primary As Biden Falls (Quinnipac) New Hampshire Democratic Primary Exit Poll Results and Analysis (Wash Post) Trump Approval Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) General Election Trump vs. Klobucha (RealClear…
 
On this 5th Anniversary episode, Kristen and Margie are joined by founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver. Nate founded Five Thirty Eight after being tired of the media covering politics with a lack of data. Iowa Primary The three cover the topic of Iowa and how the polls should be looked at along with the actual results in Iowa. Nate breaks down Io…
 
National Democratic Primary National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) 2020 Democratic Primary (Morning Consult) Biden and Sanders are breaking away from the pack of candidates among Democrats nationwide (Washington Post/ABC News) Electability in the Democratic Primary Polls (HuffPost/YouGov) Iowa Primary Iowa Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight…
 
Democratic Primary Who's Ahead in the National Poll? (FiveThirtyEight) Who's Ahead in Iowa? (FiveThirtyEight) Who's Ahead in New Hampshire? (FiveThirtyEight) Sanders Widens Lead In N.H. (WBUR) Trump Approval Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Trump Third Year Sets New Standard for Party Polarization (Gallup) General Election General Election: …
 
2020 Democratic Primary Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Iowa Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Why Warren Needs To Play To Win — And That Includes Beating Sanders (FiveThirtyEight) Who Won The January Democratic Debate? (FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos) Biden holds wide lead among black voters in Democratic presidential race (Washington Post/Ipsos) 2…
 
Party Preferences U.S. Party Preferences Steady During Trump Era (Gallup) Democratic Polling for Debate DNC Tells Pollsters to Do More Polls (NewYorkTimes) Democratic Primary Sanders starts 2020 in strong position in Iowa and New Hampshire (CBS News) Biden Is Democrats’ Best Bet to Beat Trump (Morning Consult) Trump Job Approval/Impeachment Trump J…
 
Polling Trends in Previous Elections In Leaked Memo, Andrew Yang Asks DNC for More Debate Polls (DailyBeast) 2008 Iowa Republican Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2008 Iowa Democratic Caucus(RealClear Politics) 2012 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) 2016 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus(RealClear Politics) 2016 Iowa Democratic …
 
Democratic Primary What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different (FiveThirtyEight) Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight) Biden and Sanders holding steady (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval/Impeachment President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Tracking “impeach and remove” (FiveThirtyEight) Trump job approval ticks up…
 
Democratic Primary Biden and Sanders holding steady (RealClear Politics) Second Choice Candidates (Quinnipiac) Trump Approval / Impeachment Tracking “impeach and remove” (FiveThirtyEight) Tracking Trump Approval (RealClearPolitics) Who was the better President? Democrats answer! (Monmouth) Trust in the media Republicans less likely to trust the new…
 
2020 Presidental Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) The State of the Democratic Primary (Morning Consult) The Economist/You Gov Poll California Voters Wanted Kamala Harris to Drop Out of Presidential Race (Berkeley I…
 
2020 Presidental Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) CBS News Battleground Tracker (CBS News) Impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) Impeachment Hearin…
 
2020 Presidental Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus (RealClear Politics) Poll: Bloomberg's Potential Run is a Flop With Voters so Far (Politico/Morning Consult) Biden Holds Slight Lead In New Hampshire Dem Primary (Quinnipiac) Impeachmen…
 
2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) One Year From Election, Trump Trails Biden but Leads Warren in Battlegrounds (The New York Times Upshot/Siena College) Poll: Biden Holds Significant Lead over Warren, Sanders in Nevada; Top Issue is Electing Someone Who …
 
2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Impeachment Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) Partisans Dig In On Impeachment, but Majority of Americans Say Trump Administration Should Cooperate With Inquiry (…
 
2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Biden's lead in Democratic primary hits widest margin since April (CNN) Iowa Caucus (RealClear Politics) Trump and Impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Increased Support For Trump Impeachment in Wisconsin (Mar…
 
2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Who Won The Fourth Democratic Debate? (FiveThirtyEight / Ipsos) Impeachment Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? (FiveThirtyEight) How To Talk About Impeachment (Navigator) Issue of …
 
2020 Presidential Election Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) General Election Matchups (RealClear Politics) Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Bullock the only Dem to beat Trump in MT (U. of Montana) Impeachment Impeachment Tracker (FiveThirtyEight) Voters Remain Divided On Impeachment (Quinnipiac) Public views Ukraine charge…
 
2020 Presidential Campaigns Great Society on Broadway, the poll 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) Monmouth Poll numbers Twitter South Carolina Democratic voters strongly support Joe Biden (Winthrop University) Trump approval (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: Impeachment (again) Do Americans Support Impeaching Presid…
 
Odds & Ends Richard Madden’s T-Rex! Inside Fox News’ polling ‘nerdquarium,’ whose numbers don’t lie whether Trump likes them or not (Los Angeles Times) 2020 Presidential Campaigns Democratic Primary (RealClear Politics) One Republican Party, Different Democratic Parties (Echelon Insights) Trump Job Approval (RealClea Politics) Latest National Gener…
 
2020 Presidential Campaign 2020 Democrats (RealClear Politics) Iowa Voter Survey (David Binder Research for Focus on Rural America) Iowa Voter Survey (Civiqs - Iowa State University) The Third Debate Influenced Those Who Watched … But A Lot Of People Didn’t (FiveThirtyEight) Steve Kornacki Tweet of Crosstabs (NBC News/WSJ via Steve Kornacki) Trump …
 
2020 Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) President Trump trails potential Democratic challengers in 2020 test (WaPo/ABC News) Latest CNN/SSRS Poll 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: 9-11 and its Impact Ariel Edwards-Levy tweet of Sept. 2001 CBS Poll Public Overwhelmingly Backs Bush in Attacks on Afghanis…
 
2020 Democrats Are Divided On What’s Dividing The Party (Huffington Post/YouGov) President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: Guns Poll: Most Republicans support assault weapons ban, despite Trump saying 'no appetite' (Politico/Morning Consult) Trump Approval (Fox News) What Percentage of Americans Own Guns? (Gallup) Majorit…
 
2020 Climate 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) 3-Way Lead as Dem 2020 Picture Shifts (Monmouth) John Anzalone tweet Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Latest 2020 General Election Polls (RealClear Politics) Issue of the Week: The Economy Consumer Confidence Index (The Conference Board) Poll finds a pessimistic America de…
 
Trump and Democrats 2020 Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Democratic Candidates (RealClear Politics) Elizabeth Warren Had Another Very Good Debate (HuffPo) Warren Up, Harris Down, But Biden Leads Among U.S. Dems (Quinnipiac) Gun Laws Who's to blame for mass shootings? On that, some bipartisan agreement (USA Today/Ispos) Presidential Power Republ…
 
2020 Presidential Campaigns Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) Interest still high in second Dem debate (POLITICO/Morning Consult) Shifting Democratic Lines (Echelon Insights) Conflicted About Trump: The Americans Disapproving of President Trump While Giving Him Credit on the Economy (Na…
 
Trump & The Squad Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Trump’s Electoral College Edge Could Grow in 2020, Rewarding Polarizing Campaign (New York Times / The Upshot) Most Americans disagree with Trump's "go back" tweets (CBS News / YouGov) Majority of voters say ‘send her back’ chants were racist (POLITICO/Morning Consult) Mueller Testimony Democrat…
 
Trump, “racially infused” tweets, and Democratic Candidates Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) Republican support for Trump rises after racially charged tweets (Reuters) 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics) Beto O’Rourke and the Value of Polling Polling is not evil voodoo magic (Kristen Soltis Anderson in the Washington Exa…
 
Trump and 2020 Democrats Trump Approval (RealClear Politics Average) General Election Polling Average (RealClear Politics Average) 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination (RealClear Politics Average) POLL AVERAGE Joe Biden Isn’t The Unequivocal 2020 Democratic Front-Runner Anymore (HuffPo) CNN has new standards for reporting on polls CNN's transpar…
 
Trump Approval Trump Approval Post-Democratic Debate Polling Ipsos Poll Conducted for Reuters Harris and Warren rise and Biden slides after first Democratic debates (SSRS for CNN) Kamala Harris surges in Iowa as Bernie Sanders suffers after debate (Suffolk University/USA TODAY) Data from the Suffolk University/USA TODAY Poll Harris Gets Big Debate …
 
Democratic Debate Interest Democratic voters not fully tuned in to 2020 (AP/NORC) Most Dems interested in first debates, but not excited (Monmouth) America’s Political Perceptions Trump approval (RealClear Politics) New High in U.S. Say Immigration Most Important Problem (Gallup) American Bridge 4-State rural and small-town voters (Anzalone Liszt G…
 
President Trump, 2020, and impeachment Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) The infamous Fox News Polls (FOX News) Impeachment Talk (Suffolk University / USA Today) More Impeachment Talk (NBC/Wall Street Journal) Trump fires pollsters (CNN) Would voters consider a woman as president? Nominating Woman or Minority Come Second to Nominating Candidate W…
 
2020 Polling Trump Approval (RealClear Politics) More brutal 2020 poll numbers for Trump (Washington Post) 2020 General Matchups (RealClear Politics) Democratic Nomination (RealClear Politics) Mike Gravel's Tweet It’s PRIDE Month! Gallup First Polled on Gay Issues in '77. What Has Changed? (Gallup) America’s Growing Support for Transgender Rights (…
 
The Mueller Report Trump Voters Who Heard Mueller Decline To Clear Trump Still Think His Report Clears Trump (HuffPost/YouGov) Made-up news Many Americans Say Made-Up News Is a Critical Problem That Needs To Be Fixed (Pew Research) Millennial, Gen Z, and Gen X voters Gen Z, Millennials and Gen X outvoted older generations in 2018 midterms (Pew Rese…
 
Trump President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Trump Character Ratings Improved, but Still a Weakness (Gallup) Dem (and GOP?) Primary Democratic Dividing Lines (Echelon Insights) Nearly Half of Democrats Say the Best Age for a President Is ‘In Their 50s’ (Pew Research) Economic satisfaction, Capitalism, and Socialism Framing the Debate on …
 
AAPOR ConferenceExit Poll ShowdownEvery Methodology Is Terrible AlwaysProbability Is Fake NewsTrump and Democrats 2020 President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Latest 2020 General Election Polls (RealClear Politics) Fox News Poll 5/16 Biden Is Only Contender With Positive Score (Quinnipiac) Most Democrats Are Fine With Their Candidates Doi…
 
Poll of the Week Are You Secretly a Millennial? (The New York Times) 2020 primaries Bullock hires senior staffers ahead of likely presidential run (The Hill) What traits are Democrats prioritizing in 2020 candidates? (CBS News / YouGov) Maryland GOP voters widely favor Trump over Larry Hogan for White House (Gonzales Research & Media Services via T…
 
Poll of the week New Navigator Survey Trump and Democrats’ Enthusiasm President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Democrats lose their enthusiasm advantage (NBC News/Wall Street Journal) Voter Approval Rising for Trump’s Handling of the Economy (Wall Street Journal/NBC News) AG Barr and the Mueller Report Little support for Barr’s handling of…
 
Viva la Border Percentage of Democrats who see border ‘crisis’ jumps 17 points since January amid spike in migrant families (Washington Post / ABC News) A poll found Mexicans think relations with the U.S. are better than before. Ignoring Trump may be the secret. (Chicago Council on Global Affairs / Buendía & Laredo) Trump, Mueller, and Impeachment …
 
Trump Approval President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Mueller Report The conservative talking point of “exoneration” has failed to break through (Navigator Research via Politico) 2020 Democrat Race Bernie Takes Lead for Democratic Nomination, Mayor Pete On The Move (Emerson Polling) If Daily Kos decided the presidential race, it would be…
 
The Donald Abides Amid the tumult of the Trump era, the constant: His approval rating (Washington Examiner) President Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) 2020 Polling? Biden tops Democratic field after rough week (Politico / Morning Consult) Women voters could give women candidates a boost in the Democratic primary (Morning Consult) The Fairnes…
 
Trump Trump’s Approval Rating (RealClear Politics) Views of Trump’s personal traits, job approval (Pew Research) Most want to see Mueller report released (Ariel Edwards-Levy) Changing America Jason McGrath of GBAO talks about Lightfoot in Chicago Voters Say Scrap Elite School Test in NY (Quinnipiac) On Equal Pay Day 2019, lack of awareness persists…
 
Trump and the Mueller Report Trump Job Approval (RealClear Politics) Voters want Mueller report released, but will it change views? (FOXNews, pre-report delivery) CNN/SSRS Poll (post-report delivery) U.S. Voters Want To See Mueller Report (Quinnipiac, both pre- and post-summary delivery) Nearly half still think Trump obstructed Russian probe (POLIT…
 
Poll of the week: Fox Republicans and Bill Maher GOP Fox News Viewers Say Trump Is Best President Ever (Navigator) Trump and White Nationalism Trump Favorable/Unfavorable (RealClear Policy) Fewer Than 20 Percent Of Americans Say Trump Opposes White Nationalism (HuffPost/YouGov) The Mueller Report 60 percent have some confidence in fairness of Muell…
 
Loading …

Kurzanleitung

Google login Twitter login Classic login